Compound fertilizer industry began to pay attention to summer fertilizer

The compound fertilizer industry is now shifting its focus to summer fertilizer preparations as spring planting activities are largely completed. Sales prices remain stable, but market attention has gradually moved toward the upcoming summer season. Compared to previous years, the current compound fertilizer market lacks strong momentum. Manufacturers are adopting a cautious approach, and short-term price fluctuations are unlikely. In the Central Plains region, which is a key market for summer corn, fertilizer preparation has started slowly. The Henan market had an early round of pre-season fertilizer purchases, and currently, dealers at all levels hold some inventory. However, recent declines in raw material prices—such as urea—have caused a temporary slowdown in the market. In Jiangsu and Anhui, the volume of spare parts has dropped by 12% compared to the same period last year. Dealers are particularly concerned about potential price cuts during the sales season. In Shanxi, Shaanxi, and Shandong, fruit tree fertilizer stocks are being cleared, while there is a wait-and-see attitude towards corn fertilizers. According to a dealer in Shanxi, 40% of high-nitrogen fertilizer is currently being sold at 2,400 yuan per ton, but with foreign manufacturers' prices remaining low, profit margins for wholesalers are very tight. Many dealers are hoping for further price reductions. Meanwhile, other regions are more prepared for spring cultivation. In the northern market, winter stockpiles are sufficient, and local sales have already reached the halfway mark. To avoid overstocking, distributors are actively pushing products. In areas like Liaoning’s northwest, northeast Inner Mongolia, and northeast Hebei, the peak season has arrived, and retail outlets are operating at 67% capacity. However, farmers are not buying much fertilizer, and some regions have been affected by heavy snow, causing slower-than-usual sales. With uncertainty looming over future demand, many dealers have paused purchasing, and replenishment will depend on how sales progress. In southern rural areas, distributor enthusiasm for picking up goods has increased, but the large existing inventory of winter stock has limited any significant market uplift. Manufacturers are not receiving many new orders, and sluggish raw material prices are not providing support for market pricing. Dealers remain pessimistic about the market outlook, believing that maintaining current prices is already a positive sign. Some manufacturers, however, believe that the next two months of the first half of the year will be critical for sales. In regions like Jiangxi and Guangxi, basic fertilizer supplies may be tight, creating potential opportunities. However, unexpected demand surges could lead to localized price competition. Looking ahead, raw material markets have seen adjustments, with urea prices stabilizing and other inputs declining. This lack of price support makes it difficult for compound fertilizers to see significant gains. Based on past experience, manufacturers are likely to adjust their policies depending on order status, and price corrections cannot be ruled out.

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