At a brokerage conference call, Huachuang Securities analysts said that rail transit is such a huge investment of billions of dollars. In the economic downturn, the PPP model of government and social capital cooperation will become the most in the future rail transit field. An effective solution.
In fact, the rail transit project has an excellent driving effect and investment amplification rate. The GDP turning points of Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Hong Kong and other cities all appear during the construction of rail transit. At the 2nd General Meeting of the China Urban Rail Transit Association held recently, the data disclosed by the Association showed that by the end of 2015, a total of 26 cities across the country had opened urban rail transit operations, with a total length of 3,618 kilometers, a year-on-year increase of 14%. Among them, the newly added operation line length is 445 kilometers. In the whole year, the passenger volume was 13.8 billion person-times, an increase of 9.5% year-on-year.
For second- and third-tier cities, the effect of rail transit PPP projects will be more obvious. Huachuang Securities believes that second- and third-tier cities need to introduce private capital into rail transit construction to alleviate urban congestion. The driving effect of rail transit and the investment amplification rate also ensure that the government can obtain sufficient financial funds from the development of other economic sectors to subsidize rail transit projects.
Previously, in the three batches of PPP promotion projects publicly announced by the National Development and Reform Commission, the total investment amount of urban rail transit projects exceeded 1 trillion yuan. The data shows that as of the end of August this year, 43 projects have been started in the major projects of urban rail transit in the 11 major projects of the National Development and Reform Commission. The accumulated investment was 68.6 billion yuan, an increase of 4 billion yuan from the end of July.
Bao Xuding, the old president of China Urban Rail Transit Association, believes that under the great situation of rapid urbanization and urban public transportation, the development of urban rail transit in China has shown a rare speed and scale in the world. In the future, it will conform to the top ten development trends: scale expansion, development differentiation, structural network, system diversification, industry standardization, system intelligence, technology autonomy, capital diversification, market internationalization and status strategy.
GF Securities said in the research report that 2016 and 2017 will be the peak period of China's urban rail construction and investment. It is predicted that the total new urban rail transit planning mileage in China will reach 2,385 kilometers in the next three years, with a total of 103 rail transit projects, and the investment will reach 1.6 trillion.
Due to high investment in rail transit, low returns and long cycle. Huachuang Securities believes that central enterprises have a strong competitive advantage in project general contracting, and the project contracting profits can reach more than 10%, and the risk is relatively small. Private enterprises have advantages in bidding for equipment such as electromechanical equipment.
China Urban Rail Transit Association expects that China's urban rail transit will be completed and put into operation more than 3,000 kilometers during the 13th Five-Year Plan period. The rail transit investment scale will reach 1.7-2 trillion yuan during the 13th Five-Year Plan period. At present, the stock market God Buffett once optimistic about BYD, and has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with the China Development Bank on the monorail rail transit industry of 60 billion yuan. In addition, it has reached a cooperation intention with Shantou City. The contract amount is 50 billion yuan, in an attempt to incite more than The trillion-dollar rail transit market.
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